Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.242577 0.334193 0.436569 0.557179 0.693381 0.840712 1.010528
2025-07-06 0.128935 0.245089 0.393525 0.585448 0.817845 1.082907 1.401664
2025-07-13 0.083663 0.208910 0.385819 0.628318 0.933632 1.291462 1.730665
2025-07-20 0.052078 0.178713 0.377009 0.663422 1.035820 1.481660 2.037382
2025-07-27 0.037452 0.169224 0.392483 0.726599 1.170019 1.707855 2.384433
2025-08-03 0.023350 0.152795 0.393439 0.767331 1.273865 1.896112 2.685784
2025-08-10 0.009980 0.125992 0.372350 0.773510 1.330371 2.024459 2.914017
2025-08-17 0.000694 0.085776 0.318665 0.726244 1.311901 2.056478 3.023299
2025-08-24 NaN 0.052552 0.265727 0.672626 1.279660 2.067368 3.103691
2025-08-31 NaN 0.035145 0.237919 0.654008 1.292590 2.133562 3.250210
2025-09-07 NaN 0.026371 0.227086 0.661501 1.341229 2.245167 3.452630
2025-09-14 NaN 0.017106 0.209235 0.654603 1.367796 2.327079 3.617302
2025-09-21 NaN 0.008489 0.185934 0.637517 1.381739 2.396485 3.772385
2025-09-28 NaN 0.007057 0.191432 0.674346 1.476803 2.575146 4.067738
2025-10-05 NaN 0.006487 0.200911 0.718629 1.582909 2.768387 4.381390
2025-10-12 NaN 0.005506 0.207261 0.756794 1.679901 2.949653 4.680168
2025-10-19 NaN 0.006807 0.228438 0.824266 1.821571 3.191160 5.055978
2025-10-26 NaN 0.006248 0.237437 0.867804 1.926996 3.384126 5.370162
2025-11-02 NaN 0.003463 0.228060 0.874385 1.975903 3.500956 5.587245
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000202 0.192263 0.823920 1.935345 3.495703 5.647302
2025-11-16 NaN NaN 0.156275 0.766545 1.880561 3.468791 5.677703
2025-11-23 NaN NaN 0.138789 0.746590 1.883002 3.518860 5.806083
2025-11-30 NaN NaN 0.133573 0.754624 1.930237 3.630770 6.014709